jcm’s ‘10 Olympics’ Podium Predictions Contest
It’s nearly one month til the Opening Ceremony of the Vancouver Winter Olympics! In celebration and anticipation, I invite you to take part in my contest, the second of its kind on jcm, since my ‘09 Worlds’ Contest. You contribute nothing but figure skating placement predictions, I make no profit, and it’s not linked to any organization or business…it’s just for fun!
TO PLAY
Post your predictions for the top 4 medal placements (including the fourth place “pewter” medal), in any or all 4 figure skating disciplines in the “Comments” for this post. If your username is not linked to your email address, be sure to include your email address as well, or email it to me, so I can contact you should you win. Refer to the early submissions for the basic format, and you may use your initials only, if you wish. Predictions or resubmissions must be posted before midnight, February 12th. I will announce any skater withdrawals in the “Comments” for this post.
SCORING
- 15 points for correct top 3 placements (gold, silver, & bronze) for 1 discipline (if achieved, the next 3 scoring items are not added)
- 6 points for 1 correct gold medal placement
- 5 points for 1 correct silver medal placement
- 4 points for 1 correct bronze medal placement
- 2 points for 1 correct medalist in any top 3 placement (ie: you post “Jane Doe – silver medal”, but Jane wins bronze)
- 1 point for 1 correct fourth place “pewter” medal placement
- 1 bonus point for 4 correct top 4, in any top placement (ie: you post correct top 4, BUT some or all are in wrong placement)
PRIZES
The winner for each discipline will be awarded a $20 online amazon.com gift certificate, the week following the Olympics. (A total of $80.00 in prizes are at stake!)
ATHLETES
You can review the Vancouver Athletes, in all 4 figure skating disciplines here. (Once an official competitor list is published, I’ll provide the link.) Check out the season’s best total scores for men, ladies, pairs, ice dance.
And, keep an eye on the official Olympic Schedule and Results here.
The small print:
If there are any withdrawals before Feb. 12, you may resubmit your predictions, but I discourage you from doing so for unaffected disciplines, as you will risk losing a tie-breaker because of resubmitting later. If a withdrawal in any discipline effects your prediction, your 4th place prediction will be counted as your bronze medal prediction (this is why the 4th place prediction is essential.) If there are 2 withdrawals in any discipline that effect your prediction, the remaining skaters in that discipline will be counted as your top 2 prediction. If there are no withdrawals in a discipline, the fourth place prediction serves as a top 3 tie-breaker. In the case of a top 4 tie, the earlier post prevails (including any resubmissions).
I have revised the scoring, since my ’09 Worlds’ Predictions Contest, to increase fairness, and account for more possible scenarios. Have fun y’all!







Ladies:
Kim Yu-Na Gold
Mao Asada Silver
Joannie Rochette Bronze
Miki Ando Pewter
Mens:
Evgeni Plushenko Gold
Evan Lysacek Silver
Jeremy Abbott Bronze
Patrick Chan Pewter
Pairs:
Shen & Zhao Gold
Pang & Tong Silver
Mukhortova & Trinkov Bronze
Savchenko & Szolkowy Pewter
Dance:
Domnina & Shabalin
Davis & White
Virtue & Moir
Wow…earlier submission! Congrats on being the first. I’m pleased to see that you’re betting on some interesting twists here (ie: Belbin/Agosto and Savchenko/Szolkowy off the podium, two American men on the podium, and NO Japanese men on the podium).
Ladies:
Gold: Kim Yu-Na
Silver: Mao Asada
Bronze: Joannie Rochette
Pewter: Rachael Flatt
Men:
Gold: Daisuke Takahashi
Silver: Evan Lysacek
Bronze: Evgeny Plushenko
Pewter: Johnny Weir
Pairs:
Gold: Shen/Zhao
Silver: Savczenko/Solkowy
Bronze: Pang/Tong
Pewter: Mukhortova/Trankov
Dance:
Gold: Virtue/Moir
Silver: Davis/White
Bronze: Belbin/Agosto
Pewter: Domnina/Shabalin
Ladies:
Joannie Rochette (Gold)
Kim Yu-Na (Silver)
Miki Ando (Bronze)
Mao Asada (Pewter)
Mens:
Evan Lysacek (Gold)
Evgeni Plushenko (Silver)
Jeremy Abbott (Bronze)
Patrick Chan (Pewter)
Pairs:
Pang & Tong (Gold)
Shen & Zhao (Silver)
Mukhortova & Trinkov (Bronze)
Savchenko & Szolkowy (Pewter)
Dance:
Belbin Agosto (Gold)
Domnina & Shabalin (Silver)
Davis & White (Bronze)
Virtue & Moir (Pewter)
Hmmmm…it’s interesting to see that noone’s betting on Sasha Cohen. I wonder if noone trusts that she’ll show at Nationals…or, if they doubt her ability to be viable on this Olympic stage? She’s definitely a wild card.
Pairs
Gold: Shen/Zhao
Silver: Savchenko/Szolkowy
Bronze: Mukhortova/Trankov
Pewter: Pang/Tong
Men
Gold: Evgeni Plushenko
Silver: Evan Lysacek
Bronze: Stephane Lambiel
4th: Patrick Chan
Dance
Gold: Virtue/Moir
Silver: Domnina/Shabalin
Bronze: Davis/White
4th: Delobel/Schoenfelder
Ladies
Gold: Miki Ando
Silver: Yu-Na Kim
Bronze: Mao Asada
4th: Rachael Flatt
Ladies:
G – Kim
S – Rochette
B – Asada
4 – Flatt
Men:
G – Takahashi
S – Lysacek
B – Joubert
4 – Plushenko
Dance:
G – Virtue/Moir
S – Domnina/Shabalin
B – Davis/White
4 – Belbin/Agosto
Pairs:
G – Shen/Zhao
S – Savchenko/Szolkowy
B – Kavaguti/Smirnov
4 – Pang/Tong
Ladies:
G: Kim
S: Flatt
B: Rochette
4: Ando
Mens:
G: Plushenko
S: Lysacek
B: Chan
4: Joubert
Pairs:
G: Shen & Zhao
S: Savchenko & Szolkowy
B: Pang & Tong
4: Mukhortova & Trinkov
Dance:
G: Virtue & Moir
S: Davis & White
B: Belbin & Agosto
4: Domnina & Shabalin
Mens
Gold: Evan Lysacek
Silver: Daisuke Takahashi
Bronze Patrick Chan
4th: Evgeni Plushenko
(Im Canadian and Id like to see Patrick take Gold but its not his time yet … and Plushenko, he is lacking in artistry)
Ladies
Gold: Yuna Kim
Silver: Mao Asada
Bronze: Joannie Rochette
4th: Miki Ando
(Id like to see Sasha Cohen in the mix but she has much to prove!)
Pairs
Gold: Shen Zhao
Silver: Savchenko Szolkowy
Bronze: Kavaguti Smirnov
4th: Ping Tong
Dance:
Gold: Virtue Moir
Silver: David White
Bronze: Belbin Agosto
4th: Delobel Schoenfelder
(I didnt put Domnina and Shabalin because I do not think their new OD and FD are winning material!)
Ladies
Gold – Kim Yu-Na
Silver – Mao Asada
Bronze – Rachel Flatt
4th – Ando Miki
Men
Gold – Evan Lysacek
Silver – Nobunari Oda
Bronze – Jeremy Abbott
4th – Plushenko
Pairs
Gold – Shen / Zhao
Silver – Savchenko / Szolkowy
Bronze – Pang / Tong
4th – Mukhortova / Trinkov
Ladies
Gold – Kim Yu-Na
Silver – Mao Asada
Bronze – Rachel Flatt
4th – Ando Miki
Men
Gold – Evan Lysacek
Silver – Nobunari Oda
Bronze – Jeremy Abbott
4th – Plushenko
Pairs
Gold – Shen / Zhao
Silver – Savchenko / Szolkowy
Bronze – Pang / Tong
4th – Mukhortova / Trinkov
Dance
Gold – Virtue / Moir
Silver – Davis / White
Bronze – Belbin / Agosto
4th – Domnina / Shabalin
Here are my predictions :
Pairs
1. Xue Shen and Hongbo Zhao (China)
2. Qing Pang and Jian Tong (China)
3. Aliona Savchenko and Robin Szolkowy (Germany)
4. Yuko Kawaguti and Alexander Smirnov (Russia)
5. Maria Murkhortova and Maxim Trankov (Russia)
6. Jessica Dubé and Bryce Davison (Canada)
7. Dan Zhang and Hao Zhang (China)
8. Caydey Denney and Jeremy Barrett (United States)
Men
1. Jeremy Abbott (United States)
2. Evgeni Plushenko (Russia)
3. Patrick Chan (Canada)
4. Stéphane Lambiel (Switzerland)
5. Nobunari Oda (Japan)
6. Evan Lysacek (United States)
7. Daisuke Takahashi (Japan)
8. Brian Joubert (France)
Women
1. Yu-Na Kim (South Korea)
2. Joannie Rochette (Canada)
3. Mao Asada (Japan)
4. Miki Ando (Japan)
5. Rachael Flatt (United States)
6. Akiko Suzuki (Japan)
7. Cynthia Phaneuf (Canada)
8. Carolina Kostner (Italy)
Dance
1. Tessa Virtue and Scott Moir (Canada)
2. Meryl Davis and Charlie White (United States)
3. Tanith Belbin and Benjamin Agosto (United States)
4. Isabelle Delobel and Olivier Schoenfelder (France)
5. Oksana Domnina et Maxim Shabalin (Russia)
6. Federica Faiella and Massimo Scali (Italy)
7. Sinead Kerr and John Kerr (Great Britain)
8. Jana Khoklova and Sergei Novitski (Russia)
Wow Jean-Samuel…Jeremy Abbott for the Gold!? I like the sound of that!!! I hope you’re right.
Ladies:
Gold: Kim Yu-Na
Silver: Joannie Rocheete
Bronze: Mao Asada
Pewter: Rachel Flatt
Mens:
Gold: Evgeni Plushenko
Silver: Evan Lysacek
Bronze: Daisuke Takahashi
Pewter: Patrick Chan
Pairs:
Gold: Shen & Zhao
Silver: Pang & Tong
Bronze: Savchenko & Szolkowy
Pewter: : Kavaguti & Smirnov
Dance:
Gold: Virtue & Moir
Silver: Davis & White
Bronze: Belbin & Agosto
Pewter: Domnina & Shabalin
Okay…I’m ready.
Ladies:
Gold: Kim Yu-Na
Silver: Mao Asada
Bronze: Rachael Flatt
4th: Joannie Rochette
Dance:
Gold: Davis and White
Silver: Delobel and Schoenfelder
Bronze: Virtue and Moir
4th: Belbin and Agosto
Pairs:
Gold: Shen and Zhao
Silver: Kavaguti and Smirnov
Bronze: Savchenko and Szolkowy
4th: Dube and Davison
Men (This is near impossible):
Gold: Evan Lysacek
Silver: Evgeny Plushenko
Bronze: Nobunari Oda
4th: Brian Joubert
I was eagerly anticipating your submission Aaron! Flatt for bronze…I’m all for that, and certainly sounds possible! AND, yes, I think it’s actually easier to throw a coin to predict the mens than base it on any actual real reasoning, as there are SO many possibilities!
Mens:
1. Evgeni Plushenko
2. Brian Joubert
3. Daisuke Takahashi
4. Evan Lysacek
Ladies:
1. Miki Ando
2. Mao Asada
3. Joannie Rochette
4. Carolina Kostner
Dance:
1. Virtue/Moir
2. Domnina/Shabalin
3. Davis/White
4. Belbin/Agosto
Pairs:
1. Shen/Zhao
2. Savchenko/Szolkowy
3. Kavaguti/Smirnov
4. Pang/Tong
Women’s
Gold: Yuna Kim
Silver: Miki Ando
Bronze: Akiko Suzuki (dark horse, anyone?)
4th: Mao Asada
Men’s (My best guess)
Gold: Evengi Plushenko
Silver: Evan Lysacek
Bronze: Jeremy Abbott
4th: Stephane Lambiel
Pairs:
Gold: Shen and Zhao
Silver: Kavaguti and Smirnov
Bronze: Savchenko/Szolkowy
4th: Pang and Tong
Ice Dance:
Gold: Davis and White
Silver: Domnina and Shabalin (despite my dislike of the OD, the ISU judges seem to dig them.)
Bronze: Virtue and Moir
4th: Belbin and Agosto
Ladies
1. Yu-Na Kim (KOR)
2. Miki Ando (JPN) – I’m not 100% sure of second place
3. Joannie Rochette(CAN)
4. Mao Asada (JPN)
Men
1. Evgeni Plushenko (RUS)
2. Evan Lysacek (USA)
3. Naburi Oda (JPN)
4. Jeremy Abbot (USA)
Pairs
1. X. Shen/ H. Zhao (CHIN)
2. Q. Pang/ J. Tong (CHIN)
3. A. Savchenko/ R. Szolkowy (GER)
4. Y. Kavaguti/ A. Smirnov (RUS)
Dance
1. M. Davis/ CH. White (USA)
2. T. Virtue/ S. Mior (CAN)
3. O. Domnina/ M. Shabalin (RUS)
4. T. Belibin/ B. Agosto (USA)
ufff…it was hard. In fact it’s not my dream podiums, but my favourites skaters are not good enought for gold
Ladies
Gold: Yu Na Kim
Silver: Mao Asada
Bronze: Miki Ando
Pewter: Joannie Rochette
Men:
Gold: Evgeni Plushenko
Silver: Jeremy Abbott
Bronze: Evan Lycachek
Pewter: Daisuke Takahashi
Pairs:
Gold: Shen/Zhao
Silver: Savchenko/Szolkowy (I LOVE this program)
Bronze: Kavaguti/Smirnov
Pewter: Pang/Tong
Ice Dance:
Gold: Davis/White
Silver: Virtue/Moir
Bronze: Domina/Shabalin
Pewter: Belbin/Agosto
This is impossible, but I’m giving it my best shot!
Ladies
1. Kim Yu Na
2. Asada Mao
3. Ando Miki
4. Joannie Rochette
Men: OMG I cannot wait for this!
1. Jeremy Abbott
2. Evgeny Plushenko
3. Brian Joubert
4. Evan Lysacek
Pairs: Shen and Zhao are my heroes!
1. Shen/Zhao
2. Kavaguti/Smirnov
3. Savchenko/Szolkowy
4. Pang/Tong
Dance
1. Virtue/Moir
2. Davis/White
3. Belbin/Agosto
4. Delobel/Schoenfelder
jcm’s Olympics’ Podium Predictions:
(I’m only posting these for fun, and they don’t count in the contest.)
And, this is NOT my wish list!!!
LADIES
1) Yu-Na
2) Asada
3) Rochette
4) Ando
5) Flatt
6) Suzuki
7) Lepisto
8) Kostner
9) Nagasu
MENS
1) Plushenko
2) Abbott (GO JEREMY!!!)
3) Oda
4) Lysacek
5) Chan
6) Lambiel
7) Takahashi
8) Joubert
9) Weir (GO JOHNNY!!!)
PAIRS
1) Shen & Zhao
2) Pang & Tong
3) Savchenko & Szolowy
4) Kavaguti & Smirnov
5) Mukhortova & Trankov
6) Zhang & Zhang
7) Dube & Davison
8) Volosozhar & Morozov
9) Langlois & Hay
DANCE
1) Virtue & Moir
2) Davis & White
3) Domnina & Shabalin
4) Belbin & Agosto
5) Delobel & Schoenfelder
6) Faiella & Scali
7) Pechalat & Bourzat
8) Khoklova & Novitski
9) Kerr & Kerr
Yikes, with the men I might as well play the lottery. I’ll scramble them a few more times before they take to the ice!
LADIES
Gold: Yu-Na Kim
Silver: Mao Asada
Bronze: Miki Ando
Pewter: Joannie Rochette
MEN
Gold: Evgeni Plushenko
Silver: Jeremy Abbott
Bronze: Patrick Chan
Pewter: Stephane Lambiel
PAIRS
Gold: Shen & Zhao
Silver: Savchenko & Szolkowy
Bronze: Mukhortova & Trinkov
Pewter: Pang & Tong
DANCE
Gold: Virtue & Moir
Silver: White & Davis
Bronze: Domina & Shabalin
Pewter: Belbin & Agosto
Men
1 Evgeni Plushenko
2 Evan Lysacek
3 Patrick Chan
4 Daisuke Takahashi
Ladies
1 Joannie Rochette
2 Yu-Na Kim
3 Rachael Flatt
4 Mao Asada
Pairs
1 Shen and Zhao
2 Savchenko and Szolkowy
3 Pang and Tong
4 Kavaguti and Smirnov
Dance
1 Davis and White
2 Virtue and Moir
3 Belbin and Agusto
4 Delobel and Schoenfelder
Ladies:
Kim Yu-Na
Joannie Rochette
Akiko Suzuki
Mao Asada
Mens:
Daisuke Takahashi
Stephan Lambiel
Patrick Chan
Evan Lysaceck
Pairs:
Shen & Zhao
Kavaguti and Smirnov
Pang & Tong
Savchenko & Szolkowy
Dance:
Virtue & Moir
Domnina & Shabalin
Davis & White
Delobel and Schoenfelder
Dance
1. Virtue & Moir
2. Davis & White
3. Domnina & Shabalin
4. Delobel & schoefelder
Ladies
1. Kim Yu-Na
2. Joannie Rochette
3. Mao Asada
4. Akiko Suzuki
Mens
1. Evgeni Plushenko
2. Evan Lysaceck
3. Patrick Chan
4. Nombari Oda
Pairs
1. Shen & Zhao
2. Dube & Davidson
3. Savchenko & Szolkowy
4. Pang & Tong
Ladies:
1. Kim Yu-Na
2. Joannie Rochette
3. Rachel Flatt
4. Mao Asada
Men:
1. Patrick Chan
2. Evgeni Plushenko
3. Jeremy Abbott
4. Evan Lysacek
Pairs:
1. Shen & Zhao
2. Pang & Tong
3. Kavaguti & Smirnov
4. Savchenko & Szolkowy
Dance:
1. Domnina & Shabalin
2. Davis & White
3. Belbin & Agosto
4. Virtue & Moir
Ladies:
Gold: Kim Yu Na
Silver: Mao Asada
Bronze: Joannie Rochette
Pewter: Miki Ando
Men:
Gold: Evgeny Plushenko
Silver: Evan Lysacek
Bronze: Stephane Lambiel
Pewter: Daisuke Takahashi
Pairs:
Gold: Shen/Zhao
Silver: Savczenko/Szolkowy
Bronze: Pang/Tong
Pewter: Kavaguti/Smirnov
Dance:
Gold: Virtue/Moir
Silver: Davis/White
Bronze: Domnina/Shabalin
Pewter: Belbin/Agosto
Thanks for the opportunity.
CK
DH, it’s nice to see you’re back again for another round of predictions. Hopefully you can repeat your win (or better) from my World’s contest!
Hi JCM, yep — I made the cutoff of Friday @midnight. This year I’m so late that I decided I had to include a couple placements that run opposite conventional wisdom…we’ll see. Good luck to everybody.
I missed the deadline but leave my picks for fun in any case.
Ladies
Kim Yu-Na
Mao Asada
Miki Ando
Joanie Rochette
Men
Evgeni Plushenko
Evan Lysacek
Brian Joubert
Daisuke Takahashi
Pairs
Shen Xue and Zhao Hongbo
Aliona Savchenko and Robin Szolkowy
Pang Qing and Tong Jian
Zhang Dan and Zhang Hao
Ice dance
Isabelle Delobel and Olivier Schoenfelder
Oksana Domnina and Maxim Shabalin
Tanith Belbin and Ben Agosto
Meryl Davis and Charlie White
No you didn’t. It is tonight at midnight (the night of the Opening Ceremony).
Ladies
1. Yu-Na Kim
2. Mao Asada
3. Rachael Flatt
4. Akiko Suzuki
Mens
1. Lambiel
2. Plushenko
3. Abbott
4. Takahashi
Pairs
1. Shen and Zhao
2. Savchenko and Szolkowy
3. Kavaguti and Smirnov
4. Pang and Tong
Dance
1. Davis and White
2. Virtue and Moir
3. Belbin and Agosto
4. Domnina and Shabilin
Thanks!
Ladies
1. Yu-Na Kim
2. Mao Asada
3. Mirai Nagasu
4. Rachael Flatt
Mens
1. Plushenko
2. Lysacek
3. Joubert
4. Abbott
Pairs
1. Shen and Zhao
2. Kavaguti and Smirnov
3. Pang and Tong
4. Dube and Davidson
Dance
1. Davis and White
2. Virtue and Moir
3. Belbin and Agosto
4. Domnina and Shabilin
Ladies:
1. Kim Yu-Na
2. Joannie Rochette
3. Mao Asada
4. Rachel Flatt
Men:
1. Evgeni Plushenko
2. Evan Lysacek
3. Patrick Chan
4. Brian Joubert
Pairs:
1. Shen & Zhao
2. Kavaguti & Smirnov
3. Pang & Tong
4. Savchenko & Szolkowy
Dance:
1. Domnina & Shabalin
2. Davis & White
3. Belbin & Agosto
4. Virtue & Moir
I can’t believe I didn’t see this sooner. Hope it’s not too late.
Ladies:
1. Yu-Na Kim
2. Joannie Rochette
3. Mao Asada
4. Miki Ando
Men:
1. Evgeni Plushenko
2. Evan Lysachek
3. Patrick Chan
4. Stephane Lambiel
Pairs:
1. Shen & Zhao
2. Savchenko & Szolkowy
3. Dube & Davison
4. Zhang and Zhang
Dance:
1. Virtue & Moir
2. Davis & White
3. Belbin & Agosto
4. Domnina & Shabalin
Thanks for including fourth in this contest.
Men
1. Plushenko
2. Lysacek
3. Abbott
4. Chan
Women
1. Kim Yu-na
2. Asada
3. Flatt
4. Ando
Pairs
1. Shen Xue & Zhao Hongbo
2. Pang Qing & Tong Jian
3. Savchenko & Szolkowy
4. Kavaguti & Smirnov
Dance
1. Davis & White
2. Belbin & Agosto
3. Virtue & Moir
4. Domnina & Shabalin
Honorable Mention Category:
Bestest Skate Loving Uncle:
1. Paulie
2. Pablo
3. Roundie
4. Mar Z’s Baby
How lovely to have the (presumably) final submission be from my Ohio family! I especially love the honorable mentions! Love, P
Congratulations to Jean-Samuel Gagnon for winning the Pairs’ portion of the contest, with a perfect top four prediction (ie: all four placements were spot-on), one of four, and his was posted first!
Now, onto the mens!!!
Congratulations to “MIZ” (yes, MY MOTHER…so proud of her!!!) for winning the Men’s portion of the contest, with a score of 11. She predicted both the gold and silver medalists in the correct placement. Only one other participant bet correctly on 1 & 2 as well.
The depth of the men’s field contributed to much lower scores across the board (and no perfect top three or top four prediction), as many were betting on Abbott, Chan, Oda, and Joubert.
Next up…Ice Dance!!!
Congratulations to “MF” for winning the Ice Dance portion of the contest, with a perfect top four prediction! “CK” tied “MF”, but missed out due to a later submission. It was an unforgettable night indeed. It was so sad to see Belbin & Agosto so close to the podium. I hope they go to one more Worlds!
Congratulations to “LJ” for winning the Ladies’ portion of the contest by guessing the top three correctly! LJ was the very first voter, and voted on the day the contest was posted.
“Buscar Bruscar,” “Pat,” and “CK” tied with LJ, but missed out due to later submissions.
Only “Casey” had any hope in Mirai Nagasu, the SURPRISE fourth place finisher! More of you bet on Rachael Flatt, who also skated VERY well!
Thanks for participating! This was fun for me, and hopefully for you as well!